Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roanne - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Daniil Glinka		Neil Oberleitner

	1	2
			Watch
	1.3	3.37
	1.30	3.13	Watch
	1.57	2.31	Watch
	1.53	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.57)	2.79 ↑ (2.31)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Glinka
66.2%

Neil Oberleitner
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Glinka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniil Glinka's performance.

Neil Oberleitner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Neil Oberleitner might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Glinka than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniil Glinka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neil Oberleitner than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Neil Oberleitner could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Glinka is ranked ATP: 287. Oberleitner is ranked ATP: 453.

Glinka has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Oberleitner has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Glinka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Glinka could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Glinka will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Neil Oberleitner - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.46%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Glinka
ITF Tournaments
21.09.25	Daniil Glinka - Maxence Beauge	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Daniil Glinka - Loann Massard	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Daniil Glinka - Niels Visker	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Daniil Glinka - Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Daniil Glinka - Marwan Haida-Lamrani	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWW
- Neil Oberleitner
ATP Challenger
02.10.25	Neil Oberleitner - Petr Brunclik	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Neil Oberleitner - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Giles Hussey - Neil Oberleitner	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Johan Nikles - Neil Oberleitner	0:2 ✺
15.09.25	Zdenek Kolar - Neil Oberleitner	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LWWWL

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