Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Grodzisk Mazowiecki, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 August 2025, Tuesday


	Daniil Glinka		Radu Albot

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.86	1.84	Watch
	1.78	1.97	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.89	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.33)	1.85 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Glinka
50.2%

Radu Albot
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Glinka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniil Glinka's performance.

Radu Albot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Radu Albot might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Glinka than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniil Glinka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radu Albot than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Radu Albot could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Daniil Glinka - Radu Albot Predictions

Users Predictions: Radu Albot will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Radu Albot will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Glinka is ranked ATP: 371. Albot is ranked ATP: 310.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Glinka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Radu Albot - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 59.44%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Glinka
ATP Challenger
04.08.25	Daniil Glinka - Amit Vales	2:0 ✺
03.08.25	Daniil Glinka - David Poljak	2:0 ✺
14.07.25	Daniil Glinka - Aryan Shah	0:2 ✺
13.07.25	Daniil Glinka - Alberto Barroso Campos	2:0 ✺
09.07.25	Daniil Glinka - Masamichi Imamura	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWL
- Radu Albot
ATP Challenger
04.08.25	Radu Albot - Tadeas Paroulek	2:0 ✺
03.08.25	Radu Albot - Hubert Plenkiewicz	2:0 ✺
28.07.25	Radu Albot - Eliakim Coulibaly	0:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
20.07.25	Norbert Gombos - Radu Albot	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	Radu Albot - Jerome Kym	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLLW

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