Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Astana - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday


	Daniil Ostapenkov		Egor Agafonov

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Daniil Ostapenkov
72.7%

Egor Agafonov
27.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

78.2%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Ostapenkov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniil Ostapenkov's form might have worsened.

Egor Agafonov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Egor Agafonov's recent form is better than expected.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Ostapenkov is ranked ATP: 533. Agafonov is ranked ATP: 686.

Ostapenkov has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ostapenkov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ostapenkov is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Ostapenkov
ATP Challenger
05.08.26	Daniil Ostapenkov - Florent Bax	1:2 ✺
04.08.26	Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine - Daniil Ostapenkov	1:2 ✺
03.08.26	Koki Matsuda - Daniil Ostapenkov	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Yurii Dzhavakian - Daniil Ostapenkov	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.07.26	Daniil Ostapenkov - Tiago Torres	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLWL
- Egor Agafonov
ITF Tournaments
06.08.26	Martin Borisiouk - Egor Agafonov	2:0 ✺
04.06.26	Egor Agafonov - Kacper Knitter	1:2 ✺
28.05.26	Ivan Iutkin - Egor Agafonov	2:0 ✺
27.05.26	Dmitrii Burtsev - Egor Agafonov	0:2 ✺
25.03.26	Daniil Sarksian - Egor Agafonov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL

Daniil Ostapenkov - Egor Agafonov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide