Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul 2 - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 3 August 2026, Monday


	Koki Matsuda		Daniil Ostapenkov

	1	2
	2.10	1.62
	2.08	1.67
	2.13	1.7
	2.08	1.67	Watch
	2.65	1.47
	2.03	1.68	Watch
	2.1	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.01)	1.64 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Koki Matsuda
43%

Daniil Ostapenkov
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Koki Matsuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Daniil Ostapenkov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koki Matsuda than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Koki Matsuda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Ostapenkov than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniil Ostapenkov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Koki Matsuda - Daniil Ostapenkov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Matsuda is ranked ATP: 514. Ostapenkov is ranked ATP: 536.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Ostapenkov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Koki Matsuda
ATP Challenger
02.08.26	Koki Matsuda - Cem Ilkel	2:0 ✺
31.07.26	Koki Matsuda - Gabriel Debru	1:2 ✺
29.07.26	Colin Sinclair - Koki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
27.07.26	Karan Singh - Koki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
19.07.26	Digvijay Pratap Singh - Koki Matsuda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWL
- Daniil Ostapenkov
ATP Challenger
02.08.26	Yurii Dzhavakian - Daniil Ostapenkov	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.07.26	Daniil Ostapenkov - Tiago Torres	0:2 ✺
02.07.26	Lui Maxted - Daniil Ostapenkov	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Rohan Mehra - Daniil Ostapenkov	0:2 ✺
26.06.26	Carl Emil Overbeck - Daniil Ostapenkov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWL

Koki Matsuda - Daniil Ostapenkov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide