Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sioux Falls, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sioux Falls 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Daniil Ostapenkov		Patrick Maloney

	1	2
	2.20	1.62	Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.28	1.60	Watch
	2.22	1.58	Watch
	2.45	1.56
	2.23	1.58	Watch
	2.26	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.22)	1.58 (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Ostapenkov
40.8%

Patrick Maloney
59.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.6%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Ostapenkov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Patrick Maloney has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Ostapenkov than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniil Ostapenkov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patrick Maloney than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Patrick Maloney could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Daniil Ostapenkov - Patrick Maloney Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ostapenkov is ranked ATP: 546., and Maloney is ranked ATP: 774..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Ostapenkov may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Maloney is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Ostapenkov
ATP Challenger
26.10.26	Gavin Young - Daniil Ostapenkov	1:2 ✺
25.10.26	Daniil Ostapenkov - Quinn Vandecasteele	2:0 ✺
18.10.26	Albert Pedrico Kravtsov - Daniil Ostapenkov	2:0 ✺
01.10.26	Abedallah Shelbayh - Daniil Ostapenkov	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	Raphael Perot - Daniil Ostapenkov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWLLW
- Patrick Maloney
ATP Challenger
23.10.26	Jenson Brooksby - Patrick Maloney	2:0 ✺
21.10.26	Patrick Maloney - Kenta Miyoshi	2:1 ✺
19.10.26	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Patrick Maloney	0:2 ✺
29.09.26	Darwin Blanch - Patrick Maloney	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Patrick Maloney - Igor Marcondes	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Ostapenkov
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Liam Draxl - Daniil Ostapenkov	✺

Daniil Ostapenkov - Patrick Maloney

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Daniil Ostapenkov - Patrick Maloney Predictions

Preview

Form

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