Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Mallorca - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Daria Yesypchuk		Marie Vogt

	1	2
	2.00	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.78
	1.98	1.74
	1.94	1.77	Watch
	2.00	1.80
	1.97	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2)	1.76 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daria Yesypchuk
47.1%

Marie Vogt
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daria Yesypchuk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Marie Vogt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daria Yesypchuk than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marie Vogt than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Daria Yesypchuk - Marie Vogt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Yesypchuk is ranked WTA: 494., and Vogt is ranked WTA: 456..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Vogt could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daria Yesypchuk
ITF Tournaments
07.10.26	Yasmine Kabbaj - Daria Yesypchuk	2:0 ✺
06.10.26	Daria Yesypchuk - Ida Wobker	2:0 ✺
24.09.26	Daria Yesypchuk - Alisa Oktiabreva	0:2 ✺
23.09.26	Daria Yesypchuk - Giulia Paterno	2:0 ✺
17.09.26	Matilde Paoletti - Daria Yesypchuk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLWL
- Marie Vogt
ITF Tournaments
07.10.26	Marie Vogt - Lidia Encheva	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Marie Vogt - Elena Ruxandra Bertea	1:2 ✺
21.09.26	Marie Vogt - Ekaterina Yashina	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Marie Vogt - Ashmitha Easwaramurthi	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.08.26	Pia Lovric - Marie Vogt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWWL

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