Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: AUSTRALIAN OPEN (AUSTRALIA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 8 January 2024, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Darya Astakhova		Maria Timofeeva

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.7	1.42
	2.8	1.4
	2.88	1.43
	2.88	1.44
	2.62	1.44
	2.6	1.48	Watch
	2.75	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.32)	1.45 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darya Astakhova
34.7%

Maria Timofeeva
65.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darya Astakhova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darya Astakhova's form might have worsened.

Maria Timofeeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maria Timofeeva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Astakhova than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Darya Astakhova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Timofeeva than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maria Timofeeva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Astakhova is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Timofeeva is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Timofeeva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Timofeeva will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darya Astakhova
ITF Tournaments
28.11.23	Darya Astakhova - Emerson Jones	Astakhova D. retired ✺
25.11.23	Darya Astakhova - Taylah Preston	0:2 ✺
24.11.23	Joanna Garland - Darya Astakhova	1:2 ✺
23.11.23	Sakura Hosogi - Darya Astakhova	0:2 ✺
22.11.23	Maya Joint - Darya Astakhova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 ?LWWW
- Maria Timofeeva
ATP Challenger
31.12.23	Maria Timofeeva - Anastasia Zakharova	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.12.23	Maria Timofeeva - Hiromi Abe	1:2 ✺
20.12.23	Maria Timofeeva - Humera Baharmus	2:0 ✺
06.12.23	Maria Timofeeva - Arianne Hartono	1:2 ✺
05.12.23	Maria Timofeeva - Kateryna Volodko	Volodko K. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLWL?

Darya Astakhova - Maria Timofeeva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide