Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: La Bisbal D'Emporda, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday


	Darya Kasatkina		Sara Sorribes Tormo

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.49	2.76
	1.38	2.91	Watch
	1.44	2.63
	1.44	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.61)	2.72 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darya Kasatkina
65.5%

Sara Sorribes Tormo
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darya Kasatkina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Darya Kasatkina's performance.

Sara Sorribes Tormo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sara Sorribes Tormo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Darya Kasatkina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sara Sorribes Tormo than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sara Sorribes Tormo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Darya Kasatkina - Sara Sorribes Tormo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kasatkina will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Sorribes Tormo will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 75. Sorribes Tormo is ranked WTA: 359.

Kasatkina has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sorribes Tormo is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Sorribes Tormo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kasatkina will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kasatkina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darya Kasatkina
ATP Challenger
01.05.26	Alina Charaeva - Darya Kasatkina	1:2 ✺
30.04.26	Laura Pigossi - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Emiliana Arango - Darya Kasatkina	1:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
22.04.26	Daria Snigur - Darya Kasatkina	2:1 ✺
WTA Rouen
13.04.26	Darya Kasatkina - Ann Li	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWWLL
- Sara Sorribes Tormo
ATP Challenger
01.05.26	Sara Sorribes Tormo - Elena Pridankina	2:1 ✺
30.04.26	Antonia Ruzic - Sara Sorribes Tormo	1:2 ✺
28.04.26	Ajla Tomljanovic - Sara Sorribes Tormo	1:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
20.04.26	Sara Sorribes Tormo - Tamara Korpatsch	Sorribes Tormo S. Retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.04.26	Sara Sorribes Tormo - Leyre Romero Gormaz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWW?W

Latest Head to Head

WTA Madrid
03.05.22	Darya Kasatkina - Sara Sorribes Tormo	1:2

Darya Kasatkina - Sara Sorribes Tormo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide