Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Santa Tecla 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday


	Dasha Ivanova		Jessica Hinojosa Gomez

	1	2
	1.23	4.02
	1.26	3.31	Watch
	1.22	3.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.34)	3.75 ↑ (3.23)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dasha Ivanova
75.2%

Jessica Hinojosa Gomez
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dasha Ivanova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Jessica Hinojosa Gomez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dasha Ivanova than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Hinojosa Gomez than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Dasha Ivanova - Jessica Hinojosa Gomez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ivanova is ranked WTA: 689. Hinojosa Gomez is ranked WTA: 845.

Ivanova is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Hinojosa Gomez has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ivanova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ivanova is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ivanova won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dasha Ivanova
ITF Tournaments
09.10.25	Dasha Ivanova - Midori Castillo Meza	2:0 ✺
07.10.25	Dasha Ivanova - Kianah Motosono	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Dasha Ivanova - Sophia Biolay	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Dasha Ivanova - Maria Camila Torres Murcia	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Dasha Ivanova - Jenna Dean	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWW
- Jessica Hinojosa Gomez
ITF Tournaments
09.10.25	Kenzie Nguyen - Jessica Hinojosa Gomez	1:2 ✺
08.10.25	Freya Peet - Jessica Hinojosa Gomez	0:2 ✺
02.10.25	Jessica Hinojosa Gomez - Misa Malkin	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Jessica Hinojosa Gomez - Saumya Vig	2:0 ✺
WTA Guadalajara
31.08.25	Varvara Lepchenko - Jessica Hinojosa Gomez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
27.05.22	Jessica Hinojosa Gomez - Dasha Ivanova	1:2
18.05.22	Dasha Ivanova - Jessica Hinojosa Gomez	2:0

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