Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Monastir 16 (Tunisia), hard - Final

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday


	Dayeon Back		Mariia Tkacheva

	1	2
	1.89	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.09)	1.83 ↑ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dayeon Back
49.4%

Mariia Tkacheva
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dayeon Back has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dayeon Back's performance.

Mariia Tkacheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mariia Tkacheva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dayeon Back than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dayeon Back that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariia Tkacheva than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mariia Tkacheva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Back could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Tkacheva to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dayeon Back
ITF Tournaments
04.05.24	Dayeon Back - Priska Madelyn Nugroho	2:1 ✺
01.05.24	Dayeon Back - Ayline Esina Samardzic	2:0 ✺
26.04.24	Dayeon Back - Eliessa Vanlangendonck	1:2 ✺
25.04.24	Dayeon Back - Alice Soulie	2:0 ✺
23.04.24	Dayeon Back - Diva Bhatia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWW
- Mariia Tkacheva
ITF Tournaments
04.05.24	Vaishnavi Adkar - Mariia Tkacheva	1:2 ✺
30.04.24	Mariia Tkacheva - Anna Kubareva	2:1 ✺
28.04.24	Patricija Paukstyte - Mariia Tkacheva	2:0 ✺
27.04.24	Anja Wildgruber - Mariia Tkacheva	0:2 ✺
26.04.24	Mariia Tkacheva - Hiromi Abe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWW

Dayeon Back - Mariia Tkacheva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide