Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 8, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday


	Deborah Chiesa		Leonie Kung

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.27	Watch
	1.54	2.37
	1.93	1.76	Watch
	1.51	2.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.49)	2.21 ↓ (2.43)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deborah Chiesa
57.5%

Leonie Kung
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deborah Chiesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Leonie Kung has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deborah Chiesa than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deborah Chiesa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonie Kung than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leonie Kung, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Deborah Chiesa - Leonie Kung Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Chiesa is ranked WTA: 667. Kung is ranked WTA: 276.

In recent matches, Chiesa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kung is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kung may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Chiesa might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Leonie Kung - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.06%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deborah Chiesa
ITF Tournaments
18.09.25	Deborah Chiesa - Isabella Maria Serban	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Deborah Chiesa - Fabiola Marino	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Anne Schaefer - Deborah Chiesa	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Francesca Gandolfi - Deborah Chiesa	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Mariia Drobysheva - Deborah Chiesa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWW
- Leonie Kung
ATP Challenger
09.09.25	Leonie Kung - Maja Chwalinska	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.09.25	Leonie Kung - Sinja Kraus	0:2 ✺
03.09.25	Leonie Kung - Valeriya Strakhova	Strakhova V. retired ✺
27.08.25	Leonie Kung - Alize Lim	0:2 ✺
20.08.25	Yelyzaveta Kotliar - Leonie Kung	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 LL?LL

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