Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Koper (Slovenia), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 April 2024, Thursday


	Deborah Chiesa		Lina Gjorcheska

	1	2
			Watch
	2.6	1.42
	2.58	1.44
	2.65	1.44
	2.65	1.44
	2.5	1.5
	2.65	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.24)	1.45 ↓ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deborah Chiesa
35.7%

Lina Gjorcheska
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deborah Chiesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deborah Chiesa's form might have worsened.

Lina Gjorcheska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lina Gjorcheska's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deborah Chiesa than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lina Gjorcheska than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

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Preview

Recent matches Chiesa is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gjorcheska is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Chiesa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Gjorcheska to win the game is with odds 1.64.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Chiesa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deborah Chiesa
ITF Tournaments
17.04.24	Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales - Deborah Chiesa	0:2 ✺
11.04.24	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Deborah Chiesa	2:0 ✺
09.04.24	Sofia Shapatava - Deborah Chiesa	0:2 ✺
05.04.24	Diletta Cherubini - Deborah Chiesa	2:0 ✺
04.04.24	Deborah Chiesa - Lisa Pigato	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWLW
- Lina Gjorcheska
ITF Tournaments
17.04.24	Lina Gjorcheska - Anca Alexia Todoni	2:0 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup Group II
13.04.24	Lina Gjorcheska - Karin Altori	2:0 ✺
12.04.24	Lina Gjorcheska - Ekaterine Gorgodze	Gorgodze E. retired ✺
10.04.24	Antonia Ruzic - Lina Gjorcheska	2:1 ✺
08.04.24	Kaia Kanepi - Lina Gjorcheska	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
21.03.24	Lina Gjorcheska - Deborah Chiesa	Gjorcheska L. retired
13.01.23	Lina Gjorcheska - Deborah Chiesa	2:1
19.05.22	Lina Gjorcheska - Deborah Chiesa	1:2

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