Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Solarino, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Deborah Chiesa		Noemi Maines

	1	2
	1.15	4.60	Watch
	1.16	4.62	Watch
	1.14	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.3)	4.91 ↑ (3.47)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deborah Chiesa
81%

Noemi Maines
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.7%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.6%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deborah Chiesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deborah Chiesa's performance.

Noemi Maines has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Noemi Maines might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deborah Chiesa than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deborah Chiesa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noemi Maines than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Noemi Maines could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deborah Chiesa - Noemi Maines Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Chiesa is ranked WTA: 667. Maines is ranked WTA: 876.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Maines may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Chiesa is a strong favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deborah Chiesa
ITF Tournaments
31.10.25	Deborah Chiesa - Nicole Gadient	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Deborah Chiesa - Gabriela Maria Vancea	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Deborah Chiesa - Ginevra Parentini Vallega Montebruno	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.10.25	Deborah Chiesa - Radka Zelnickova	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Deborah Chiesa - Julia Grabher	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWWLL
- Noemi Maines
ITF Tournaments
31.10.25	Noemi Maines - Marta Lombardini	2:1 ✺
30.10.25	Noemi Maines - Sara Milanese	2:1 ✺
07.10.25	Emma Lene - Noemi Maines	2:1 ✺
02.10.25	Pia Lovric - Noemi Maines	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Zala Bizjak - Noemi Maines	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLLW

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