Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Tarvisio, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 June 2025, Wednesday


	Deborah Chiesa		Samira De Stefano

	1	2
	2.05	1.67
	2.06	1.69
			Watch
	2	1.73
	2.06	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.63)	1.69 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deborah Chiesa
45.3%

Samira De Stefano
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

67.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deborah Chiesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deborah Chiesa's performance.

Samira De Stefano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Samira De Stefano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deborah Chiesa than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deborah Chiesa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samira De Stefano than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samira De Stefano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Chiesa is ranked WTA: 539. De Stefano is ranked WTA: 393.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Chiesa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chiesa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deborah Chiesa
ITF Tournaments
24.06.25	Arianna Zucchini - Deborah Chiesa	0:2 ✺
19.06.25	Tiphanie Lemaitre - Deborah Chiesa	2:0 ✺
18.06.25	Alina Granwehr - Deborah Chiesa	0:2 ✺
13.05.25	Deborah Chiesa - Jaimee Fourlis	0:2 ✺
08.05.25	Deborah Chiesa - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWLL
- Samira De Stefano
ITF Tournaments
23.06.25	Samira De Stefano - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	2:0 ✺
20.06.25	Dominika Salkova - Samira De Stefano	2:0 ✺
19.06.25	Selena Janicijevic - Samira De Stefano	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Samira De Stefano - Dalila Jakupovic	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Georgia Andreea Craciun - Samira De Stefano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deborah Chiesa
ITF Tournaments
08.10.26	Deborah Chiesa - Marta Lombardini	✺

Deborah Chiesa - Samira De Stefano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide