Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Samsun, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 July 2026, Tuesday


	Denis Yevseyev		Tuncay Duran

	1	2
			Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.35	1.5	Watch
	2.66	1.52
	2.5	1.47	Watch
	2.5	1.51
	2.45	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.39)	1.5 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Yevseyev
37.9%

Tuncay Duran
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Yevseyev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Tuncay Duran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Yevseyev than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tuncay Duran than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Denis Yevseyev - Tuncay Duran Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Duran (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 Games - Duran (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Tuncay Duran will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Duran (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Yevseyev is ranked ATP: 441. Duran is ranked ATP: 644.

Yevseyev has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Duran is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Yevseyev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Duran will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Duran will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Denis Yevseyev - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.45%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Yevseyev
ATP Challenger
19.07.26	Denis Yevseyev - Dominic Stephan Stricker	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Guy Den Ouden - Denis Yevseyev	2:0 ✺
13.07.26	Denis Yevseyev - Gerard Campana Lee	0:2 ✺
12.07.26	Denis Yevseyev - Leonardo Borrelli	2:0 ✺
06.07.26	Andrey Chepelev - Denis Yevseyev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLWL
- Tuncay Duran
ATP Challenger
27.07.26	Digvijay Pratap Singh - Tuncay Duran	0:2 ✺
26.07.26	Naoki Tajima - Tuncay Duran	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.07.26	Tuncay Duran - Aziz Dougaz	0:2 ✺
11.07.26	Tuncay Duran - Paul Barbier Gazeu	2:0 ✺
10.07.26	Logan Zapp - Tuncay Duran	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLWW

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