Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TENERIFE (SPAIN) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - FINAL

Date: 15 January 2024, Monday


	Denis Yevseyev		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.35
	1.48	2.45	Watch
	1.49	2.46
	1.5	2.46
	1.4	2.84	Watch
	1.44	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.57)	2.53 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Yevseyev
63.2%

Vilius Gaubas
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Yevseyev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Yevseyev than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Denis Yevseyev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vilius Gaubas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Yevseyev is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gaubas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gaubas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Yevseyev will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Yevseyev
ATP Challenger
14.01.24	Denis Yevseyev - Kenay Ortiz Gonzalez	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
10.01.24	Denis Yevseyev - Vitaliy Sachko	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.01.24	Denis Yevseyev - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
01.01.24	Alex Molcan - Denis Yevseyev	0:2 ✺
31.12.23	Denis Yevseyev - Nerman Fatic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLLWW
- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
14.01.24	Vilius Gaubas - Altug Celikbilek	2:1 ✺
30.11.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
28.11.23	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
27.11.23	Vilius Gaubas - Mircea Alexandru Jecan	2:0 ✺
26.11.23	Vilius Gaubas - Diego Augusto Barreto Sanchez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
09.10.26	Vilius Gaubas - Luka Mikrut	✺

Denis Yevseyev - Vilius Gaubas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide