Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Nogent-sur-Marne, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Diana Marcinkevica		Ania Hertel

	1	2
	1.76	2.02
	1.43	2.56	Watch
	1.8	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (2.24)	2.16 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Diana Marcinkevica
56.5%

Ania Hertel
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diana Marcinkevica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Diana Marcinkevica's performance.

Ania Hertel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ania Hertel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diana Marcinkevica than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Diana Marcinkevica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ania Hertel than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ania Hertel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Diana Marcinkevica - Ania Hertel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Marcinkevica is ranked WTA: 865. Hertel is ranked WTA: 544.

Recent performances by Marcinkevica have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hertel is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Marcinkevica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Hertel will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marcinkevica won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diana Marcinkevica
ITF Tournaments
19.09.25	Mathilde Lollia - Diana Marcinkevica	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Diana Marcinkevica - Sara Dols	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Anna Burchak - Diana Marcinkevica	0:2 ✺
27.08.25	Tina Nadine Smith - Diana Marcinkevica	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Federica Sacco - Diana Marcinkevica	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWWLL
- Ania Hertel
ITF Tournaments
19.09.25	Ania Hertel - Savine Erler	2:1 ✺
18.09.25	Ania Hertel - Anastasiia Firman	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Ania Hertel - Kim Chiarello	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Ania Hertel - Maja Pawelska	1:2 ✺
10.09.25	Ania Hertel - Katarzyna Wysoczanska	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
02.04.24	Ania Hertel - Diana Marcinkevica	2:1

Diana Marcinkevica - Ania Hertel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide