Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Arad, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arad 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Diego Fernandez Flores		Daniel Bagnolini

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Diego Fernandez Flores
59%

Daniel Bagnolini
41%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diego Fernandez Flores has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Daniel Bagnolini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diego Fernandez Flores than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Bagnolini than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bagnolini will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bagnolini (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Fernandez Flores is ranked ATP: 1072. Bagnolini is ranked ATP: 1264.

Fernandez Flores has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bagnolini's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bagnolini may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fernandez Flores might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diego Fernandez Flores
ITF Tournaments
20.08.25	Diego Fernandez Flores - Artem Khuda	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	John Echeverria - Diego Fernandez Flores	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Diego Fernandez Flores - Moez Echargui	1:2 ✺
16.07.25	Marcos Castro Fabra - Diego Fernandez Flores	2:0 ✺
08.07.25	Diego Fernandez Flores - Fajing Sun	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 WLLLL
- Daniel Bagnolini
ITF Tournaments
19.08.25	Mircea Mortasifu - Daniel Bagnolini	0:2 ✺
07.08.25	Leonardo Primucci - Daniel Bagnolini	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Daniel Bagnolini - Lorenzo Lorusso	2:1 ✺
05.08.25	Daniel Bagnolini - Nicolo Toffanin	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Samuele Pieri - Daniel Bagnolini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWWL

Diego Fernandez Flores - Daniel Bagnolini