Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santo Domingo (Dominican Republic), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 August 2024, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Santo Domingo (Dominican Republic) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Referee: Estevez P. (Arg)


	Dmitry Popko		Thai-Son Kwiatkowski

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.4
	1.47	2.49
	1.45	2.64	Watch
	1.47	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.58)	2.5 ↑ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dmitry Popko
62.9%

Thai-Son Kwiatkowski
37.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dmitry Popko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Thai-Son Kwiatkowski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dmitry Popko than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thai-Son Kwiatkowski than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Dmitry Popko - Thai Son Kwiatkowski Predictions

Users Predictions: Dmitry Popko will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Popko is ranked ATP: 187. Kwiatkowski is ranked ATP: 292.

Recent matches Popko is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kwiatkowski is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kwiatkowski could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Popko will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Popko won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dmitry Popko
ATP Challenger
09.08.24	Dmitry Popko - Nicolas Mejia	1:2 ✺
07.08.24	Dmitry Popko - Jay Clarke	2:0 ✺
06.08.24	Dmitry Popko - Harrison Adams	2:1 ✺
25.07.24	Gabi Adrian Boitan - Dmitry Popko	2:1 ✺
23.07.24	Facundo Mena - Dmitry Popko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWLW
- Thai-Son Kwiatkowski
ATP Washington
27.07.24	Marc Polmans - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski	2:1 ✺
27.07.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski	Canceled ✺
ATP Newport
14.07.24	Thai-Son Kwiatkowski - Mitchell Krueger	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.07.24	Thai-Son Kwiatkowski - Gijs Brouwer	0:2 ✺
02.07.24	Brandon Holt - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 L?LLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.05.21	Dmitry Popko - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski	1:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dmitry Popko
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Philip Henning - Dmitry Popko	✺

Dmitry Popko - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski