Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday


	Donna Vekic		Emma Navarro

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.15	1.37	Watch
	3.12	1.42
	2.95	1.39	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3.02	1.39	Watch
	3.15	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.64)	1.37 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Donna Vekic
30.6%

Emma Navarro
69.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Donna Vekic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Donna Vekic's form might have worsened.

Emma Navarro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Emma Navarro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Donna Vekic than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emma Navarro than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Donna Vekic - Emma Navarro Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Vekic will win (votes: 14 - 70%). Navarro will win (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vekic: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 20.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Vekic (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Donna Vekic will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Vekic (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vekic is ranked WTA: 21. Navarro is ranked WTA: 10.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Vekic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Navarro is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Vekic won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:0 (average 1.3:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Emma Navarro - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 63.92%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Donna Vekic
WTA Madrid
24.04.25	Donna Vekic - Hailey Baptiste	2:0 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
15.04.25	Donna Vekic - Jana Fett	0:2 ✺
WTA Miami
20.03.25	Donna Vekic - Rebeka Masarova	0:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
12.03.25	Donna Vekic - Madison Keys	1:2 ✺
10.03.25	Emma Navarro - Donna Vekic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLLW
- Emma Navarro
WTA Madrid
24.04.25	Maya Joint - Emma Navarro	0:2 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
17.04.25	Emma Navarro - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2 ✺
15.04.25	Emma Navarro - Beatriz Haddad Maia	2:0 ✺
WTA Charleston
04.04.25	Amanda Anisimova - Emma Navarro	2:0 ✺
03.04.25	Ashlyn Krueger - Emma Navarro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Indian Wells
10.03.25	Emma Navarro - Donna Vekic	0:2
WTA Bad Homburg
26.06.23	Emma Navarro - Donna Vekic	Canceled
WTA Monterrey
01.03.23	Emma Navarro - Donna Vekic	0:2

Donna Vekic - Emma Navarro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide