Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Donna Vekic		Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.02	1.76	Watch
	2.04	1.86
	2.04	1.78	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2.05	1.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.69)	1.79 ↓ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Donna Vekic
46.7%

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Donna Vekic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Donna Vekic's form might have worsened.

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jessica Bouzas Maneiro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Donna Vekic than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Donna Vekic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Bouzas Maneiro than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jessica Bouzas Maneiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.4%	0%	31.6%

Donna Vekic - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Vekic will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Bouzas Maneiro will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vekic: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vekic (votes: 1 - 50%). Bouzas Maneiro (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vekic is ranked WTA: 55. Bouzas Maneiro is ranked WTA: 42.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Bouzas Maneiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vekic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Donna Vekic
WTA Monterrey
20.08.25	Donna Vekic - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
18.08.25	Maria Sakkari - Donna Vekic	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
07.08.25	Sorana Cirstea - Donna Vekic	2:1 ✺
WTA Hopman Cup
17.07.25	Chloe Paquet - Donna Vekic	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Lucia Bronzetti - Donna Vekic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLWL
- Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
WTA Monterrey
18.08.25	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Kamilla Rakhimova	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
13.08.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Taylor Townsend	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	0:2 ✺
07.08.25	Venus Williams - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Tenerife
16.10.21	Donna Vekic - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2:0

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