Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Monterrey, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 August 2025, Wednesday


	Donna Vekic		Elise Mertens

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	2.95	1.39	Watch
	3	1.43
	3.02	1.38	Watch
	3.3	1.33
	2.93	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.4)	1.38 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Donna Vekic
31.1%

Elise Mertens
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

71.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Donna Vekic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Donna Vekic than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Donna Vekic - Elise Mertens Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Vekic will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Mertens will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vekic: 64.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vekic (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vekic is ranked WTA: 55. Mertens is ranked WTA: 21.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Vekic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mertens is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vekic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Donna Vekic
WTA Monterrey
18.08.25	Maria Sakkari - Donna Vekic	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
07.08.25	Sorana Cirstea - Donna Vekic	2:1 ✺
WTA Hopman Cup
17.07.25	Chloe Paquet - Donna Vekic	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Lucia Bronzetti - Donna Vekic	2:1 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
02.07.25	Cristina Bucsa - Donna Vekic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWLL
- Elise Mertens
WTA Monterrey
18.08.25	Anna Blinkova - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
11.08.25	Elena Rybakina - Elise Mertens	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Clervie Ngounoue - Elise Mertens	1:2 ✺
WTA Montreal
30.07.25	Elise Mertens - Anna Kalinskaya	1:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
06.07.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Wuhan
07.10.24	Elise Mertens - Donna Vekic	1:2
WTA Hopman Cup
20.07.23	Elise Mertens - Donna Vekic	2:0

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