Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Lexington, KY, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday


	Duje Markovina		Nicolas Arseneault

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Duje Markovina
29.3%

Nicolas Arseneault
70.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duje Markovina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Nicolas Arseneault has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

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Markovina is ranked ATP: 995., and Arseneault is ranked ATP: 1066..

Arseneault could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Arseneault carries the favorite tag into this contest.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duje Markovina
ITF Tournaments
30.09.26	Neo Niedner - Duje Markovina	2:1 ✺
23.09.26	Charlie Swaine - Duje Markovina	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Ymerali Ibraimi - Duje Markovina	2:1 ✺
24.07.26	Duje Markovina - Jake Delaney	1:2 ✺
23.07.26	Chase Ferguson - Duje Markovina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLLW
- Nicolas Arseneault
ITF Tournaments
27.08.26	Nicolas Arseneault - Jack Anthrop	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Nicolas Arseneault - Valentin Gonzalez-Galino	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.08.26	Nicolas Arseneault - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
04.08.26	Nicolas Arseneault - Andres Martin	0:2 ✺
27.07.26	Tyler Zink - Nicolas Arseneault	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LWLLL

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Arseneault
ITF Tournaments
22.10.26	Nicolas Arseneault - Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar	✺

Duje Markovina - Nicolas Arseneault: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide