Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Brisbane, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 July 2026, Thursday


	Chase Ferguson		Duje Markovina

	1	2
	1.65	2.05
	1.58	2.23
	1.74	2.12
	1.65	2.08	Watch
	1.71	2.09
	1.67	2.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.73)	2.1 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chase Ferguson
55.8%

Duje Markovina
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chase Ferguson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Duje Markovina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chase Ferguson than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chase Ferguson that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duje Markovina than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Duje Markovina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Chase Ferguson - Duje Markovina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ferguson is ranked ATP: 663. Markovina is ranked ATP: 1062.

Ferguson is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Markovina has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Markovina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chase Ferguson
ITF Tournaments
22.07.26	Chase Ferguson - Derek Pham	2:1 ✺
20.07.26	Chase Ferguson - Scott Jones	2:0 ✺
17.07.26	Chase Ferguson - Jake Delaney	1:2 ✺
15.07.26	Chase Ferguson - Mustafa Ege Sik	2:0 ✺
13.07.26	Chase Ferguson - Yuki Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLWW
- Duje Markovina
ITF Tournaments
22.07.26	Duje Markovina - Blake Ellis	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Ashton McLeod - Duje Markovina	0:2 ✺
15.07.26	Duje Markovina - Jake Delaney	0:2 ✺
25.06.26	Duje Markovina - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
23.06.26	Jan Kumstat - Duje Markovina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WWLLW

Chase Ferguson - Duje Markovina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide