Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Segovia, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 July 2025, Friday


	Edas Butvilas		Adria Soriano Barrera

	1	2
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.33	3.1
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	1.32	3.55
	1.32	3.32	Watch
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.3	3.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.6)	3.32 ↑ (2.17)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edas Butvilas
71.7%

Adria Soriano Barrera
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edas Butvilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Edas Butvilas's performance.

Adria Soriano Barrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adria Soriano Barrera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edas Butvilas than the current prediction. (-16.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Edas Butvilas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adria Soriano Barrera than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adria Soriano Barrera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Edas Butvilas - Adria Soriano Barrera Predictions

Users Predictions: Edas Butvilas will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Edas Butvilas will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Butvilas is ranked ATP: 245. Soriano Barrera is ranked ATP: 308.

Butvilas is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Soriano Barrera is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Soriano Barrera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Butvilas is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edas Butvilas
ATP Challenger
24.07.25	Antoine Escoffier - Edas Butvilas	1:2 ✺
22.07.25	Abedallah Shelbayh - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
18.07.25	Tiago Pereira - Edas Butvilas	2:0 ✺
16.07.25	Edas Butvilas - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
14.07.25	Jie Cui - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWW
- Adria Soriano Barrera
ATP Challenger
24.07.25	Raul Brancaccio - Adria Soriano Barrera	1:2 ✺
22.07.25	Adria Soriano Barrera - Arthur Bouquier	2:1 ✺
21.07.25	Adria Soriano Barrera - Olaf Pieczkowski	2:1 ✺
20.07.25	Adria Soriano Barrera - Ivan Perez Martin	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.07.25	Adria Soriano Barrera - Roger Pascual Ferra	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWW

Edas Butvilas - Adria Soriano Barrera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide