Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Taipei 2 (Taiwan), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 August 2024, Tuesday


	Edward Winter		Takuya Kumasaka

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.65
	1.43	2.55
	1.4	2.78
	1.44	2.59	Watch
	1.44	2.62
	1.43	2.68	Watch
	1.43	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.64)	2.63 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edward Winter
64.9%

Takuya Kumasaka
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edward Winter has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Edward Winter's performance.

Takuya Kumasaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Takuya Kumasaka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edward Winter than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Edward Winter that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Takuya Kumasaka than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Takuya Kumasaka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Winter is ranked ATP: 753. Kumasaka is ranked ATP: 607.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Winter could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Winter will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edward Winter
ITF Tournaments
16.07.24	Edward Winter - Iiro Vasa	0:2 ✺
12.07.24	Mili Poljicak - Edward Winter	2:0 ✺
11.07.24	Federico Campana - Edward Winter	0:2 ✺
10.07.24	Ondrej Horak - Edward Winter	0:2 ✺
22.06.24	Edward Winter - Kaichi Uchida	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWL
- Takuya Kumasaka
ITF Tournaments
01.08.24	Keisuke Saitoh - Takuya Kumasaka	2:0 ✺
31.07.24	Takuya Kumasaka - Yeongseok Jeong	Jeong Y. retired ✺
29.07.24	Taisei Ichikawa - Takuya Kumasaka	0:2 ✺
16.07.24	Takuya Kumasaka - Fnu Nidunjianzan	2:1 ✺
09.07.24	Masamichi Imamura - Takuya Kumasaka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 L?WWL

Edward Winter - Takuya Kumasaka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide