Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday


	Eero Vasa		Nicholas David Ionel

	1	2
			Watch
	1.71	2.02	Watch
	1.75	2.12
	2.64	1.44	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.69	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.42)	1.92 ↓ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eero Vasa
50.2%

Nicholas David Ionel
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eero Vasa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eero Vasa's form might have worsened.

Nicholas David Ionel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicholas David Ionel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eero Vasa than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eero Vasa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicholas David Ionel than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicholas David Ionel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Eero Vasa - Nicholas David Ionel Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vasa will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ionel will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ionel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vasa is ranked ATP: 480. Ionel is ranked ATP: 611.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Vasa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Vasa might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eero Vasa
ATP Challenger
01.03.26	Eero Vasa - Patricio Alvarado	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Timeo Trufelli - Eero Vasa	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.02.26	Eero Vasa - Oskari Paldanius	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Eero Vasa - Brian Bozemoj	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
08.02.26	Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng - Eero Vasa	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLW?
- Nicholas David Ionel
ATP Challenger
01.03.26	Nitin Kumar Sinha - Nicholas David Ionel	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.02.26	Nicholas David Ionel - Andrej Martin	1:2 ✺
12.02.26	Nicholas David Ionel - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Nicholas David Ionel - Ryo Minakata	2:0 ✺
05.02.26	Johan Oscar Lien - Nicholas David Ionel	Ionel N. D. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WLLW?

Eero Vasa - Nicholas David Ionel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide