Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 AKTOBE 2 (KAZAKHSTAN), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 13 March 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: AKTOBE 2 (KAZAKHSTAN) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Indoor Hard


	Egor Agafonov		Pavel Verbin

	1	2
	1.71	2.06
	1.71	2.06
	1.67	2.1
	1.7	2.05	Watch
	1.7	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.49)	2.05 ↓ (2.44)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Egor Agafonov
54.7%

Pavel Verbin
45.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.1%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Egor Agafonov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Egor Agafonov's form might have worsened.

Pavel Verbin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pavel Verbin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egor Agafonov than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Egor Agafonov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Verbin than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pavel Verbin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Agafonov is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Verbin is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Verbin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Agafonov will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Egor Agafonov
ITF Tournaments
08.03.24	Egor Agafonov - Artur Kukasian	0:2 ✺
07.03.24	Egor Agafonov - Amir Milushev	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.02.24	Egor Agafonov - Laurent Lokoli	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.02.24	Ilia Simakin - Egor Agafonov	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Evgenii Tiurnev - Egor Agafonov	Agafonov E. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLL?
- Pavel Verbin
ITF Tournaments
08.03.24	Pavel Verbin - Petr Nesterov	1:2 ✺
07.03.24	Alexander Zgirovsky - Pavel Verbin	1:2 ✺
06.03.24	Pavel Verbin - Razvan Baiant	2:1 ✺
15.02.24	Pavel Verbin - Amr Asrawy	1:2 ✺
14.02.24	Arslanbek Aitkulov - Pavel Verbin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWLW

Egor Agafonov - Pavel Verbin

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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