Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Luan 3, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 April 2025, Thursday


	Egor Agafonov		Pawit Sornlaksup

	1	2
	1.67	2.05
	1.75	2.04
	1.6	2.18
	1.67	2.1
	1.68	2.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.57)	2.09 ↓ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Egor Agafonov
55.5%

Pawit Sornlaksup
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Egor Agafonov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Pawit Sornlaksup has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egor Agafonov than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Egor Agafonov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pawit Sornlaksup than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pawit Sornlaksup could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Egor Agafonov - Pawit Sornlaksup Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Agafonov is ranked ATP: 497. Sornlaksup is ranked ATP: 766.

Recent matches Agafonov is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sornlaksup in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Sornlaksup could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Agafonov will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Egor Agafonov
ITF Tournaments
23.04.25	Egor Agafonov - Tomohiro Masabayashi	2:0 ✺
22.04.25	Egor Agafonov - Zhenxiong Dong	2:0 ✺
18.03.25	Jie Cui - Egor Agafonov	2:1 ✺
12.03.25	Akira Santillan - Egor Agafonov	2:1 ✺
12.03.25	Renta Tokuda - Egor Agafonov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLLW
- Pawit Sornlaksup
ITF Tournaments
23.04.25	Pawit Sornlaksup - Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Filip Peliwo - Pawit Sornlaksup	0:2 ✺
18.04.25	Pawit Sornlaksup - Geun Jun Kim	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Daniil Sarksian - Pawit Sornlaksup	0:2 ✺
16.04.25	Hanyi Liu - Pawit Sornlaksup	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW

Egor Agafonov - Pawit Sornlaksup: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide