Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SHENZHEN 2 (CHINA), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Egor Gerasimov		Nuno Borges

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	3	1.34
	3.1	1.32
	3.29	1.37
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.08	1.35	Watch
	3.1	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (3.08)	1.35 ↑ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Egor Gerasimov
30.5%

Nuno Borges
69.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

68.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Egor Gerasimov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Nuno Borges has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egor Gerasimov than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Egor Gerasimov - Nuno Borges Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gerasimov will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Borges will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gerasimov: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gerasimov in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Borges is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Borges could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Borges is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Egor Gerasimov
ATP Challenger
12.10.23	Beibit Zhukayev - Egor Gerasimov	1:2 ✺
11.10.23	Egor Gerasimov - Terence Atmane	2:0 ✺
11.10.23	Li Tu - Egor Gerasimov	1:2 ✺
10.10.23	Fajing Sun - Egor Gerasimov	0:2 ✺
09.10.23	Linang Xiao - Egor Gerasimov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWWW
- Nuno Borges
ATP Challenger
12.10.23	Nuno Borges - Yu Hsiou Hsu	2:0 ✺
11.10.23	Nuno Borges - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
10.10.23	Nuno Borges - Steven Diez	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
05.10.23	Nuno Borges - Gregoire Barrere	0:2 ✺
ATP Astana
30.09.23	Nuno Borges - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWLL

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