Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Jinan - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Ekaterina Ovcharenko		Jia-Jing Lu

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Ekaterina Ovcharenko
28.5%

Jia-Jing Lu
71.5%

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

32.8%

67.2%

Ekaterina Ovcharenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ekaterina Ovcharenko's form might have worsened.

Jia-Jing Lu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jia-Jing Lu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekaterina Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jia-Jing Lu than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Ovcharenko is ranked WTA: 439. Lu is ranked WTA: 349.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Lu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lu might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekaterina Ovcharenko
ATP Challenger
29.09.25	Weronika Falkowska - Ekaterina Ovcharenko	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Selina Atay - Ekaterina Ovcharenko	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.09.25	Dalila Jakupovic - Ekaterina Ovcharenko	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.09.25	Ayla Aksu - Ekaterina Ovcharenko	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Alice Robbe - Ekaterina Ovcharenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLLW
- Jia-Jing Lu
ATP Challenger
25.09.25	Alexandra Eala - Jia-Jing Lu	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Jia-Jing Lu - Riya Bhatia	2:0 ✺
22.09.25	Ekaterina Reyngold - Jia-Jing Lu	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.09.25	Jia-Jing Lu - Kira Pavlova	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.25	Jia-Jing Lu - Lanlana Tararudee	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWWLL

Ekaterina Ovcharenko - Jia-Jing Lu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide