Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Casablanca, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 June 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Casablanca 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Ekaterina Perelygina		Emma Lene

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Ekaterina Perelygina
42.5%

Emma Lene
57.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.9%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekaterina Perelygina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Emma Lene has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Perelygina than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emma Lene than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Perelygina is ranked WTA: 564. Lene is ranked WTA: 678.

Perelygina has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lene is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Perelygina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lene will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Lene will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Emma Lene - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 62.1%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekaterina Perelygina
ITF Tournaments
11.06.26	Ekaterina Perelygina - Zeel Desai	2:0 ✺
10.06.26	Yasmine Kabbaj - Ekaterina Perelygina	0:2 ✺
20.05.26	Sapfo Sakellaridi - Ekaterina Perelygina	2:1 ✺
19.05.26	Leonie Rabl - Ekaterina Perelygina	0:2 ✺
07.05.26	Lina Glushko - Ekaterina Perelygina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWL
- Emma Lene
ITF Tournaments
11.06.26	Emma Lene - Verena Meliss	2:1 ✺
10.06.26	Emma Lene - Sarah Iliev	2:0 ✺
05.06.26	Emma Lene - Marta Soriano Santiago	1:2 ✺
04.06.26	Emma Lene - Leilany Ipunesso	2:0 ✺
03.06.26	Emma Lene - Aleksandra Kyselova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWW

Ekaterina Perelygina - Emma Lene