Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Shymkent, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday


	Elina Nepliy		Ekaterina Perelygina

	1	2
	3.15	1.34
	3.11	1.31
	3.14	1.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.19)	1.32 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elina Nepliy
29.7%

Ekaterina Perelygina
70.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elina Nepliy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elina Nepliy's form might have worsened.

Ekaterina Perelygina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ekaterina Perelygina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elina Nepliy than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elina Nepliy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Perelygina than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ekaterina Perelygina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Elina Nepliy - Ekaterina Perelygina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nepliy is ranked WTA: 683. Perelygina is ranked WTA: 1002.

Nepliy is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Perelygina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Perelygina will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elina Nepliy
ITF Tournaments
25.04.25	Claudia Gasparovic - Elina Nepliy	0:2 ✺
24.04.25	Amina Salibayeva - Elina Nepliy	0:2 ✺
23.04.25	Eva Korysheva - Elina Nepliy	0:2 ✺
06.03.25	Daria Egorova - Elina Nepliy	2:0 ✺
05.03.25	Elina Nepliy - Shuo Feng	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWLW
- Ekaterina Perelygina
ITF Tournaments
25.04.25	Ekaterina Perelygina - Valeriya Yushchenko	2:0 ✺
24.04.25	Anna Ureke - Ekaterina Perelygina	Ureke A. retired ✺
23.04.25	Ekaterina Perelygina - Anna Lena Ebster	2:0 ✺
19.03.25	Luca Udvardy - Ekaterina Perelygina	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Ekaterina Perelygina - Marie Mettraux	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 W?WLL

Elina Nepliy - Ekaterina Perelygina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide