Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Irapuato, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday


	Elina Nepliy		Victoria Rodriguez

	1	2
			Watch
	4	1.2	Watch
	6.66	1.07	Watch
	4.19	1.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.95 ↑ (3.23)	1.15 ↓ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elina Nepliy
18.9%

Victoria Rodriguez
81.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

70.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

71.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elina Nepliy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elina Nepliy's form might have worsened.

Victoria Rodriguez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Victoria Rodriguez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elina Nepliy than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elina Nepliy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria Rodriguez than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Victoria Rodriguez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Elina Nepliy - Victoria Rodriguez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nepliy is ranked WTA: 653. Rodriguez is ranked WTA: 378.

Nepliy has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rodriguez is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Rodriguez is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elina Nepliy
ATP Challenger
21.10.25	Elina Nepliy - Gabriela Lee	0:2 ✺
20.10.25	Elina Nepliy - Maria Herazo Gonzalez	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.10.25	Denislava Glushkova - Elina Nepliy	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Elina Nepliy - Valentini Grammatikopoulou	2:0 ✺
06.10.25	Maribella Zamarripa - Elina Nepliy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWLWW
- Victoria Rodriguez
ATP Challenger
22.10.25	Victoria Rodriguez - Selena Janicijevic	0:2 ✺
20.10.25	Lia Karatancheva - Victoria Rodriguez	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Victoria Rodriguez - Dasha Plekhanova	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.10.25	Victoria Rodriguez - Evialina Laskevich	1:2 ✺
25.09.25	Victoria Rodriguez - Alexis Nguyen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL

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