Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 April 2025, Wednesday


	Elizabeth Mandlik		Caroline Werner

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	2.09	1.68
	2.06	1.72	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	2.01	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.69)	1.77 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elizabeth Mandlik
47.5%

Caroline Werner
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elizabeth Mandlik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elizabeth Mandlik's form might have worsened.

Caroline Werner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caroline Werner's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elizabeth Mandlik than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elizabeth Mandlik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caroline Werner than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caroline Werner, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Elizabeth Mandlik - Caroline Werner Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Werner will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Caroline Werner will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mandlik is ranked WTA: 237. Werner is ranked WTA: 317.

Mandlik is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Werner is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Werner could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elizabeth Mandlik
ITF Tournaments
09.04.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Elizabeth Mandlik	2:0 ✺
WTA Bogota
29.03.25	Elizabeth Mandlik - Eva Vedder	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.03.25	Carolina Alves - Elizabeth Mandlik	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Ana Sofia Sanchez - Elizabeth Mandlik	2:0 ✺
06.03.25	Alicia Herrero Linana - Elizabeth Mandlik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW
- Caroline Werner
ITF Tournaments
10.04.25	Kaitlin Quevedo - Caroline Werner	2:1 ✺
09.04.25	Caroline Werner - Yulia Starodubtseva	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.04.25	Caroline Werner - Aliona Bolsova Zadoinov	0:2 ✺
02.04.25	Sara Saito - Caroline Werner	1:2 ✺
31.03.25	Miriam Bianca Bulgaru - Caroline Werner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWLWW

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