Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Wrexham, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday


	Ella McDonald		Alicia Dudeney

	1	2
			Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.86	1.86
	1.84	1.86	Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.19)	1.86 ↑ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ella McDonald
50.1%

Alicia Dudeney
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ella McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ella McDonald's performance.

Alicia Dudeney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alicia Dudeney might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ella McDonald than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ella McDonald that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alicia Dudeney than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alicia Dudeney could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ella McDonald - Alicia Dudeney Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

McDonald is ranked WTA: 559. Dudeney is ranked WTA: 537.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Dudeney may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dudeney is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ella McDonald
ITF Tournaments
17.10.25	Kristina Liutova - Ella McDonald	2:0 ✺
16.10.25	Luciana Perry - Ella McDonald	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Brandy Walker - Ella McDonald	0:2 ✺
09.10.25	Ella McDonald - Katarina Jokic	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Ella McDonald - Tianmei Wang	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWLW
- Alicia Dudeney
ITF Tournaments
16.10.25	Alicia Dudeney - Amarni Banks	1:2 ✺
15.10.25	Antonia Schmidt - Alicia Dudeney	1:2 ✺
14.10.25	Lily Hutchings - Alicia Dudeney	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Alina Granwehr - Alicia Dudeney	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Susan Bandecchi - Alicia Dudeney	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWWLL

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