Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Wimbledon - Qualification, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 June 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Community Sports Centre Roehampton (London) 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	13:40	Max, Max
Bulgaria	14:40	Max
Czech Republic	13:40	Max
Finland	14:40	Max
Hungary	13:40	Max
Netherlands	13:40	Max
Norway	13:40	MAX
Romania	14:40	Max
Sweden	13:40	Max


	Ella McDonald		Darja Semenistaja

	1	2
	1.8	1.91
	1.78	1.95
			Watch
	1.86	1.97
			Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.85	1.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.85)	1.91 ↑ (1.81)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ella McDonald
50.9%

Darja Semenistaja
49.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.5%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ella McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Darja Semenistaja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ella McDonald than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darja Semenistaja than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Ella McDonald - Darja Semenistaja Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ella McDonald will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

McDonald is ranked WTA: 394. Semenistaja is ranked WTA: 131.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Darja Semenistaja - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 50.55%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ella McDonald
ATP Challenger
10.06.25	Ella McDonald - Antonia Ruzic	1:2 ✺
09.06.25	Ella McDonald - Han Shi	2:0 ✺
08.06.25	Manon Leonard - Ella McDonald	0:2 ✺
01.06.25	Ella McDonald - Tereza Martincova	0:2 ✺
31.05.25	Whitney Osuigwe - Ella McDonald	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWLW
- Darja Semenistaja
ATP Challenger
10.06.25	Iryna Shymanovich - Darja Semenistaja	2:0 ✺
06.06.25	Maya Joint - Darja Semenistaja	2:0 ✺
05.06.25	Tara Wurth - Darja Semenistaja	0:2 ✺
04.06.25	Jule Niemeier - Darja Semenistaja	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.05.25	Darja Semenistaja - Dominika Salkova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ella McDonald
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Caroline Dolehide - Ella McDonald	✺

Ella McDonald - Darja Semenistaja