Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Templeton, CA, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday


	Ella McDonald		Kristina Penickova

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	1.98
	1.72	2
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.72	2.04
	1.69	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.66)	2 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ella McDonald
53.8%

Kristina Penickova
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ella McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Kristina Penickova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ella McDonald than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kristina Penickova than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ella McDonald - Kristina Penickova Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Penickova will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

McDonald is ranked WTA: 423., and Penickova is ranked WTA: 638..

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

McDonald may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with McDonald holding a narrow advantage.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ella McDonald
ITF Tournaments
01.10.26	Whitney Osuigwe - Ella McDonald	0:2 ✺
30.09.26	Ella McDonald - Savannah Broadus	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Kayla Day - Ella McDonald	2:0 ✺
25.09.26	Madison Brengle - Ella McDonald	1:2 ✺
24.09.26	Ella McDonald - Savannah Broadus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWLWW
- Kristina Penickova
ITF Tournaments
01.10.26	Carolina Kuhl - Kristina Penickova	0:2 ✺
30.09.26	Kristina Penickova - Iryna Shymanovich	2:0 ✺
Girls Singles US Open
09.09.26	Xinran Sun - Kristina Penickova	2:1
07.09.26	Antonina Sushkova - Kristina Penickova	1:2
06.09.26	Renee Alame - Kristina Penickova	0:2
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WWLWW

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