Match Info

Date: 10 March 2022, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Ellie Douglas		Arianne Hartono

	1	2
	2.25	1.55
	2.19	1.55
	2.27	1.59
	2.38	1.53
	2.32	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.62)	1.56 ↑ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ellie Douglas
40.6%

Arianne Hartono
59.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.4%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ellie Douglas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ellie Douglas's performance.

Arianne Hartono has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arianne Hartono might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ellie Douglas than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ellie Douglas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arianne Hartono than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arianne Hartono could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Douglas is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hartono is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Douglas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hartono will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ellie Douglas
ITF Tournaments
08.03.22	Ellie Douglas - Kaitlyn Christian	2:0 ✺
05.03.22	Ellie Douglas - Rebecca Marino	0:2 ✺
04.03.22	Priscilla Hon - Ellie Douglas	0:2 ✺
03.03.22	Ellie Douglas - Aleksandra Krunic	2:0 ✺
02.03.22	Ellie Douglas - Katie Codd	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLWWW
- Arianne Hartono
ITF Tournaments
09.03.22	Claudia Sofia Martinez Solis - Arianne Hartono	0:2 ✺
02.03.22	Arianne Hartono - Priscilla Hon	0:2 ✺
WTA Guadalajara
19.02.22	Lucia Bronzetti - Arianne Hartono	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.02.22	Yue Yuan - Arianne Hartono	2:0 ✺
27.01.22	Grace Min - Arianne Hartono	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WL?LL

Ellie Douglas - Arianne Hartono

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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