Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W25 AUSTIN, TX (USA), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 17 November 2023, Friday


	Ellie Douglas		Hanna Chang

	1	2
	1.95	1.72	Watch
	2	1.72
	2.02	1.76
	2.03	1.76
	2.1	1.67
	2.03	1.7	Watch
	2.05	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.36)	1.72 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ellie Douglas
45.9%

Hanna Chang
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ellie Douglas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ellie Douglas's performance.

Hanna Chang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hanna Chang might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ellie Douglas than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ellie Douglas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hanna Chang than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hanna Chang could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Chang will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Douglas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ellie Douglas
ITF Tournaments
16.11.23	Grace Min - Ellie Douglas	0:2 ✺
14.11.23	Jiangxue Han - Ellie Douglas	1:2 ✺
08.11.23	Ellie Douglas - Elizabeth Mandlik	0:2 ✺
24.10.23	Ellie Douglas - McCartney Kessler	1:2 ✺
12.10.23	Ellie Douglas - Lulu Sun	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLLL
- Hanna Chang
ITF Tournaments
16.11.23	Stefi Webb - Hanna Chang	1:2 ✺
15.11.23	Jade Otway - Hanna Chang	0:2 ✺
07.11.23	Hanna Chang - Jamie Loeb	0:2 ✺
26.10.23	Hanna Chang - Victoria Hu	1:2 ✺
24.10.23	Hanna Chang - Yasmine Kabbaj	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
26.07.21	Hanna Chang - Ellie Douglas	2:0

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