Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Aarhus (Denmark), clay - Final

Date: 16 June 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Aarhus (Denmark) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Elmer Moeller		August Holmgren

	1	2
	1.33	3
	1.38	2.75
	1.35	3.06
	1.35	3.06
	1.44	2.62
	1.4	2.79	Watch
	1.38	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.53)	2.86 ↑ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmer Moeller
67.5%

August Holmgren
32.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmer Moeller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elmer Moeller's performance.

August Holmgren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and August Holmgren might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moeller than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elmer Moeller that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that August Holmgren could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Elmer Moeller - August Holmgren Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Moeller could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Moeller will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moeller
ITF Tournaments
15.06.24	Elmer Moeller - Toby Martin	2:0 ✺
14.06.24	Elmer Moeller - Eric Vanshelboim	Vanshelboim E. retired ✺
13.06.24	Elmer Moeller - Jonas Trinker	2:0 ✺
12.06.24	Elmer Moeller - Philip Hjorth	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.05.24	Timofey Skatov - Elmer Moeller	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 W?WWL
- August Holmgren
ITF Tournaments
15.06.24	Lucas Gerch - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
14.06.24	Adam Heinonen - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
13.06.24	Kane Bonsach Ganley - August Holmgren	1:2 ✺
11.06.24	Olaf Pieczkowski - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.06.24	Javier Barranco Cosano - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWL

Elmer Moeller - August Holmgren

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Elmer Moeller - August Holmgren Predictions

Preview

Form

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