Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Split (Croatia) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 8 April 2024, Monday

Referee: Mlikotic M. (Cro)


	Elmer Moeller		Dan Added

	1	2
			Watch
	1.36	2.8
	1.32	3	Watch
	1.34	3.16
	1.34	3.16
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.34	3.08	Watch
	1.34	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.59)	2.99 ↑ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmer Moeller
68.9%

Dan Added
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmer Moeller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elmer Moeller's performance.

Dan Added has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dan Added might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moeller than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elmer Moeller that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dan Added than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dan Added could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Elmer Moeller - Dan Added Predictions

Users Predictions: Elmer Moeller will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

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Preview

Moeller in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Added is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Added could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Moeller will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Moeller to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moeller
ATP Challenger
07.04.24	Elmer Moeller - Jakob Schnaitter	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.04.24	Tommaso Compagnucci - Elmer Moeller	0:2 ✺
05.04.24	Elmer Moeller - Samuele Pieri	2:0 ✺
04.04.24	Gianmarco Ferrari - Elmer Moeller	1:2 ✺
03.04.24	Niccolo Catini - Elmer Moeller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW
- Dan Added
ATP Challenger
07.04.24	Neil Oberleitner - Dan Added	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.03.24	Dan Added - Rafael Izquierdo Luque	1:2 ✺
20.03.24	Dan Added - Yusuke Takahashi	2:1 ✺
12.03.24	Imanol Lopez Morillo - Dan Added	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.02.24	Dan Added - Siddharth Vishwakarma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLL

Elmer Moeller - Dan Added: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide