The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Elsa Jacquemot 34.7%
Paula Ormaechea 65.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.7%
55.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
55.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elsa Jacquemot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elsa Jacquemot's form might have worsened.
Paula Ormaechea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paula Ormaechea's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elsa Jacquemot than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elsa Jacquemot, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paula Ormaechea than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paula Ormaechea, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
Recent matches Jacquemot is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Ormaechea is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Jacquemot could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Ormaechea will have a mini benefit in this match.
Ormaechea will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Jacquemot won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.