Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Paris, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 May 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Paris 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Elsa Jacquemot		Yue Yuan

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.7
	2	1.72	Watch
	2	1.83
	1.99	1.79	Watch
	2	1.73
	1.99	1.75	Watch
	2	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.69)	1.75 ↓ (2)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elsa Jacquemot
46.5%

Yue Yuan
53.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elsa Jacquemot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elsa Jacquemot's form might have worsened.

Yue Yuan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yue Yuan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elsa Jacquemot than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elsa Jacquemot, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yue Yuan than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yue Yuan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Elsa Jacquemot - Yue Yuan Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Jacquemot will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Yuan will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jacquemot is ranked WTA: 140. Yuan is ranked WTA: 93.

In recent matches, Jacquemot has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Yuan is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Jacquemot may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Yuan will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Jacquemot won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elsa Jacquemot
ATP Challenger
12.05.25	Elsa Jacquemot - Sara Bejlek	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.05.25	Julie Belgraver - Elsa Jacquemot	2:0 ✺
07.05.25	Margaux Rouvroy - Elsa Jacquemot	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.05.25	Elsa Jacquemot - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
30.04.25	Olivia Gadecki - Elsa Jacquemot	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWLW
- Yue Yuan
WTA Roma
05.05.25	Antonia Ruzic - Yue Yuan	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.25	Yue Yuan - Fiona Ferro	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.04.25	Greetje Minnen - Yue Yuan	1:2 ✺
26.04.25	Darja Semenistaja - Yue Yuan	1:2 ✺
25.04.25	Sinja Kraus - Yue Yuan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 L?WWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
03.12.21	Yue Yuan - Elsa Jacquemot	2:1
22.11.21	Yue Yuan - Elsa Jacquemot	0:2
08.07.21	Elsa Jacquemot - Yue Yuan	2:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elsa Jacquemot
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Susan Bandecchi - Elsa Jacquemot	✺

Elsa Jacquemot - Yue Yuan