Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Bari (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 June 2024, Wednesday


	Elvina Kalieva		Anca Alexia Todoni

	1	2
	4.5	1.17	Watch
	4.75	1.18
	4.4	1.17	Watch
	4.76	1.2
	4.77	1.2
	4.33	1.2
	4.69	1.17	Watch
	4.4	1.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↑ (3.11)	1.18 ↓ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elvina Kalieva
20.5%

Anca Alexia Todoni
79.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

71.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elvina Kalieva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elvina Kalieva's form might have worsened.

Anca Alexia Todoni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Anca Alexia Todoni's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elvina Kalieva than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elvina Kalieva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anca Alexia Todoni than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Anca Alexia Todoni, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Elvina Kalieva - Anca Alexia Todoni Predictions

Users Predictions: Anca Alexia Todoni will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Kalieva is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Todoni is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kalieva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Todoni is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elvina Kalieva
ATP Challenger
03.06.24	Elvina Kalieva - Irina Maria Bara	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
31.05.24	Elvina Kalieva - Susan Bandecchi	0:2 ✺
30.05.24	Elvina Kalieva - Julia Middendorf	2:0 ✺
28.05.24	Elvina Kalieva - Martha Matoula	2:1 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
21.05.24	Elvina Kalieva - Laura Pigossi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWWL
- Anca Alexia Todoni
ATP Challenger
04.06.24	Anca Alexia Todoni - Fiona Ferro	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.06.24	Berfu Cengiz - Anca Alexia Todoni	2:1 ✺
31.05.24	Anca Alexia Todoni - Mona Barthel	2:1 ✺
30.05.24	Anca Alexia Todoni - Marina Melnikova	2:0 ✺
28.05.24	Anca Alexia Todoni - Jaimee Fourlis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWWW

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