Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Cary, NC, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 July 2025, Wednesday


	Elvina Kalieva		Hanna Chang

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	2.29	1.57
			Watch
	1.83	1.83
	2.1	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.86)	1.73 ↓ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elvina Kalieva
46.2%

Hanna Chang
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elvina Kalieva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Hanna Chang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elvina Kalieva than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elvina Kalieva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hanna Chang than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hanna Chang, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Kalieva is ranked WTA: 298. Chang is ranked WTA: 228.

Neither of the players is performing well right now.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kalieva won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Elvina Kalieva - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Hanna Chang - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elvina Kalieva
ITF Tournaments
18.06.25	Anna Frey - Elvina Kalieva	Canceled ✺
04.06.25	Darja Vidmanova - Elvina Kalieva	2:0 ✺
21.05.25	Elvina Kalieva - Anita Sahdiieva	0:2 ✺
08.05.25	Martina Okalova - Elvina Kalieva	2:1 ✺
07.05.25	Ellie Schoppe - Elvina Kalieva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 ?LLLW
- Hanna Chang
WTA Wimbledon
24.06.25	Lola Radivojevic - Hanna Chang	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.06.25	Hanna Chang - Shrivalli Rashmikaa Bhamidipaty	1:2 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
22.05.25	Taylor Townsend - Hanna Chang	2:1 ✺
20.05.25	Leonie Kung - Hanna Chang	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.05.25	Lia Karatancheva - Hanna Chang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
06.10.23	Hanna Chang - Elvina Kalieva	2:1
10.11.21	Elvina Kalieva - Hanna Chang	0:2

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