Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Montreux (Switzerland) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 2 September 2024, Monday


	Elvina Kalieva		Jenny Duerst

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.05	1.72
	2.16	1.62	Watch
	2.06	1.72	Watch
	2	1.73
	2.07	1.7	Watch
	2.16	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.35)	1.68 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elvina Kalieva
44.7%

Jenny Duerst
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elvina Kalieva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elvina Kalieva's performance.

Jenny Duerst has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jenny Duerst might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elvina Kalieva than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elvina Kalieva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jenny Duerst than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jenny Duerst could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Elvina Kalieva - Jenny Duerst Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kalieva is ranked WTA: 295. Duerst is ranked WTA: 434.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Duerst could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Duerst will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elvina Kalieva
ATP Challenger
01.09.24	Louisa Chirico - Elvina Kalieva	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.08.24	Elvina Kalieva - Sebastianna Scilipoti	0:2 ✺
28.08.24	Elvina Kalieva - Isabelle Cherny	2:0 ✺
WTA Cleveland
18.08.24	Elvina Kalieva - Sayaka Ishii	0:2 ✺
17.08.24	Anna Bondar - Elvina Kalieva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 ?LWLW
- Jenny Duerst
ATP Challenger
01.09.24	Jenny Duerst - Susan Bandecchi	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.08.24	Sada Nahimana - Jenny Duerst	2:1 ✺
28.08.24	Jenny Duerst - Agustina Chlpac	2:0 ✺
22.08.24	Ilinca Dalina Amariei - Jenny Duerst	2:1 ✺
21.08.24	Alexia Iulia Marginean - Jenny Duerst	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWLW

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