Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Landisville, PA, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 August 2025, Friday


	Elvina Kalieva		Jessika Ponchet

	1	2
			Watch
	2.4	1.5
	2.52	1.5
	6.74	1.07	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↑ (2.8)	1.36 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elvina Kalieva
25.9%

Jessika Ponchet
74.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

66.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elvina Kalieva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elvina Kalieva's form might have worsened.

Jessika Ponchet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jessika Ponchet's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elvina Kalieva than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessika Ponchet than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Elvina Kalieva - Jessika Ponchet Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kalieva (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Kalieva (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kalieva (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kalieva is ranked WTA: 275. Ponchet is ranked WTA: 137.

Recent performances by Kalieva have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ponchet is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ponchet may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ponchet is a strong favorite.

We predict that Ponchet will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Jessika Ponchet - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 66.51%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elvina Kalieva
ITF Tournaments
07.08.25	Tatiana Prozorova - Elvina Kalieva	0:2 ✺
06.08.25	Elvina Kalieva - Lizette Cabrera	2:1 ✺
30.07.25	Elvina Kalieva - Xiyu Wang	0:2 ✺
23.07.25	Darja Vidmanova - Elvina Kalieva	2:0 ✺
16.07.25	Talia Gibson - Elvina Kalieva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLLL
- Jessika Ponchet
ITF Tournaments
07.08.25	Yexin Ma - Jessika Ponchet	1:2 ✺
06.08.25	Katherine Sebov - Jessika Ponchet	0:2 ✺
01.08.25	Jessika Ponchet - Janice Tjen	0:2 ✺
31.07.25	Jessika Ponchet - Yexin Ma	2:1 ✺
30.07.25	Jessika Ponchet - Mei Yamaguchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWW

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