Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday


	Elvina Kalieva		Whitney Osuigwe

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.31	Watch
	1.63	2.32
	1.58	2.26	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.62	2.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.64)	2.33 ↓ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elvina Kalieva
59.5%

Whitney Osuigwe
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elvina Kalieva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Whitney Osuigwe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elvina Kalieva than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elvina Kalieva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Whitney Osuigwe than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Whitney Osuigwe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Elvina Kalieva - Whitney Osuigwe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kalieva is ranked WTA: 140. Osuigwe is ranked WTA: 178.

Kalieva has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Osuigwe's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kalieva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kalieva could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kalieva won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Elvina Kalieva - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 59.2%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elvina Kalieva
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Robin Montgomery - Elvina Kalieva	1:2 ✺
WTA Charleston
30.03.26	Elvina Kalieva - McCartney Kessler	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Elvina Kalieva - Akasha Urhobo	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Elvina Kalieva - Madison Brengle	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
20.03.26	Elvina Kalieva - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLWL
- Whitney Osuigwe
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Whitney Osuigwe - Simona Waltert	2:1 ✺
WTA Charleston
28.03.26	Akasha Urhobo - Whitney Osuigwe	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
16.03.26	Whitney Osuigwe - Donna Vekic	0:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
01.03.26	Darja Semenistaja - Whitney Osuigwe	2:1 ✺
WTA Austin
25.02.26	Rebeka Masarova - Whitney Osuigwe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
03.05.25	Whitney Osuigwe - Elvina Kalieva	2:0
17.04.25	Whitney Osuigwe - Elvina Kalieva	1:2
ATP Challenger
02.11.21	Elvina Kalieva - Whitney Osuigwe	Osuigwe W. retired

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