Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 BURNIE 2 (AUSTRALIA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 5 February 2024, Monday


	Emerson Jones		Tina Nadine Smith

	1	2
	1.78	1.87	Watch
	1.76	1.95
	1.72	2.05
	1.73	2
	1.59	2.26	Watch
	1.66	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.11)	2.04 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emerson Jones
54.4%

Tina Nadine Smith
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emerson Jones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Emerson Jones's performance.

Tina Nadine Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tina Nadine Smith might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emerson Jones than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Emerson Jones that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tina Nadine Smith than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tina Nadine Smith could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Jones is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Smith is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Smith could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emerson Jones
Girls Singles Australian Open
26.01.24	Renata Jamrichova - Emerson Jones	2:0 ✺
25.01.24	Iva Ivanova - Emerson Jones	0:2 ✺
25.01.24	Emerson Jones - Sara Saito	2:1 ✺
23.01.24	Emerson Jones - Tyra Caterina Grant	2:0 ✺
22.01.24	Emerson Jones - Mika Buchnik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWW
- Tina Nadine Smith
ITF Tournaments
30.01.24	Tina Nadine Smith - Sara Saito	0:2 ✺
28.01.24	Moyuka Uchijima - Tina Nadine Smith	2:0 ✺
27.01.24	Dalila Jakupovic - Tina Nadine Smith	1:2 ✺
26.01.24	Tina Nadine Smith - Anastasia Tikhonova	2:0 ✺
25.01.24	Tatiana Prozorova - Tina Nadine Smith	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LLWWW

Emerson Jones - Tina Nadine Smith: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide